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[Submitted on 17 Jun 2026 (v1), last revised 17 Jul 2026 (this version, v3)]
Abstract:Snapshot-backed sandboxes make branching cheap while leaving evidence dependence unchanged. Branches can reuse a model, prompt, repository, tests, observations, or execution ancestor, so counting outputs can amplify one repeated error into high-confidence consensus. We introduce an \emph{evidence-aware reduction contract}: each worker reports an estimate, estimated information, evidence identifiers, fork lineage, and execution metadata. For independent workers estimating one common parameter, we use standard inverse-information pooling in its Gaussian/Wald form. The fixed-dimensional numeric summary can merge in any tree order; evidence IDs and lineage follow separate rules. The residual $\Delta$ measures disagreement, becomes Cochran’s $Q$ in the scalar inverse-variance case, and appears in the product integral. A reference implementation validates serialized records, rejects repeated nonempty evidence identifiers, carries evidence and lineage through tree reduction, and uses Cholesky-based numerical linear algebra. Unit tests and seeded synthetic checks exercise the algebra, unequal information, and forged precision; one four-worker named-snapshot trace exercises the end-to-end path. Platform logs document the exercised execution paths. A central open systems challenge is to turn evidence identity and fork lineage into a dependence model for correlated and adaptively selected AI branches.
Submission history
From: Yossi Eliaz [view email]
[v1]
Wed, 17 Jun 2026 16:26:18 UTC (538 KB)
[v2]
Tue, 14 Jul 2026 20:12:20 UTC (57 KB)
[v3]
Fri, 17 Jul 2026 06:58:06 UTC (13 KB)
추출 본문 · 출처: arxiv.org · https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.09689
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